November 26, 2012
Who among us has read the 2,409 pages of the Affordable Care Act (ACA)? Jonathan Oberlander, PhD, is one of a tiny minority.
 
Dr. Jon Oberlander

Dr. Jon Oberlander

Oberlander, professor of health policy and management in Gillings School of Global Public Health and of social medicine in the School of Medicine at The University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, is called upon frequently to analyze and discuss the tenets and repercussions of the law. His most recent analysis, “The Future of Obamacare,” was published online Nov. 21 as a Perspective in The New England Journal of Medicine.

 
“Obamacare” is the name at first disparagingly assigned to the ACA, then appropriated by President Obama as a positive moniker for the most significant health care reform legislation since Medicare and Medicaid were passed in 1965.
 
Oberlander’s essay focuses primarily upon the role of the individual states in the successful implementation of the law. Only 16 states and the District of Columbia have so far committed to establishing their own health care marketplaces, or exchanges, and 22 will yield to the federal government’s setting up their states’ exchanges or will co-sponsor their programs with the federal government.
 
Questions remain about whether all the exchanges will be ready for the enrollment period scheduled to begin in October 2013. Legal challenges, though considerably lessened given the President’s reelection, might include arguments regarding mandated coverage for contraception.
 
States also must decide whether to expand eligibility for their Medicaid programs. “Most low-income, uninsured residents in states that do not expand Medicaid will be ineligible for subsidies in the exchanges and will therefore remain without coverage,” Oberlander writes.
 
Oberlander describes three long-term challenges to the success of the legislation – political and public opinion opposition; absence of a clear, well-articulated identity for the program; and cost control.
 
“More than two and a half years after its enactment, the public is still deeply divided over Obamacare,” the author writes. He says that division:

 

…reflects partisan polarization, the contentious debate over the law’s enactment and the legacy of ‘death panels’ and other myths spread by opponents to stoke the public’s fears…. [U]nlike Medicare and Social Security, Obamacare does not have a well-defined population of beneficiaries, and its benefits are diffuse…which complicates efforts to explain the law, enroll eligible populations…and mobilize public support…. Cost-containment measures intensify as policy-makers struggle with the fiscal consequences of health insurance programs. Ongoing pressures to curtail the federal budget deficit will only strengthen the resolve to hold down spending under the ACA.

 

Oberlander’s article is available online.
 
Read the Act in its entirety.
Read Wikipedia’s summary of the Act’s provisions.
 

 
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UNC Gillings School of Global Public Health contact: David Pesci, director of communications,
(919) 962-2600 or dpesci@unc.edu.

 

 

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