Justin Trogdon, PhD

Department of Health Policy and Management
Director, PhD program
Department of Health Policy and Management
1101B McGavran-Greenberg Hall
CB #7411
Chapel Hill, NC 27599-7411


Justin G. Trogdon is a Professor in the Department of Health Policy and Management. As a health economist, his current research focuses on answering policy-relevant questions in three areas:

1. Assessing the economic burden of cancer: Understanding where health care resources are spent is a critical input for improved resource allocation. Dr. Trogdon's research identifies diseases and payers that drive health care expenditures and motivates policies to contain costs.

2. Evaluating the cost and cost-effectiveness of policies and interventions: Efficient allocation of resources requires that the incremental health benefit from a policy or intervention is equal to the incremental cost of the program. Dr. Trogdon's research evaluates whether policies and interventions provide good value to society.

3. Development of methods to identify causal effects of policies and interventions and simulate new policies: In observational data, it is often hard to attribute changes in health and health behaviors to specific policies. It is even harder to anticipate the effects of policies before they are implemented. Dr. Trogdon's research uses novel statistical and simulation models to estimate the effects of polices.

Prior to his faculty appointment, Dr. Trogdon was a Senior Research Health Economist in the Public Health Economics Program at Research Triangle Institute (RTI International) and a visiting instructor at Duke University.

Justin Trogdon in the Gillings News

Representative Courses

Linear Regression Models (HPM 881)

Research Activities

  • Health economics
  • Cancer outcomes research
  • Econometrics
  • Cost of illness
  • Cost effectiveness analysis

Key Publications

Care coordination and multi-specialty teams in the care of colorectal cancer patients. Trogdon, J. G., Chang, Y. K., Shai, S., Mucha, P. J., Kuo, T. M., Meyer, A. M., & Stitzenberg, K. B.  (2018). Medical Care, 56(5), 430-435.

Impact of introduction of the 9-valent human papillomavirus vaccine on vaccination coverage of youth in North Carolina. o Trogdon, J. G., Shafer, P., Lindsay, B., & Coyne-Beasley, T.  (2018). Vaccine, 36(10), 1304-1309.
View publication

Medical costs of treating breast cancer among younger Medicaid beneficiaries by stage at diagnosis. Trogdon, J. G., Ekwueme, D. U., Poehler, D., Thomas, C. C., Reeder-Hayes, K., & Allaire, B. T.  (2017). Breast Cancer Research and Treatment, 166(1), 207-215.

Annual medical spending attributable to obesity: Payer- and service-specific estimates. Finkelstein, E. A., Trogdon, J. G., Cohen, J. W., & Dietz, W. H. (2009). Health Affairs, 28(5), w808–w817.

Peer effects in adolescent overweight. Trogdon, J. G., Nonnemaker, J. M., & Pais, J. M. (2008). Journal of Health Economics, 27.


  • BA, Economics, Baylor University, 1999
  • MA, Economics, Duke University, 2001
  • PhD, Economics, Duke University , 2004